Sam MerrillFITTED MODEL

G · CLE · NBA

19.6

Projection

6.9

Floor (p10)

33.1

Ceiling (p90)

17%

Boom (1.5x)

24%

Bust (0.6x)

21.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-31	vs PHX	19.8	16	1	1	4
2025-12-30	@ SA	8.5	5	0	1	1
2025-12-28	@ HOU	24.2	13	3	3	3
2025-12-25	@ NY	23.2	11	5	1	2
2025-12-24	vs NO	44.5	22	6	7	6
2025-12-23	vs CHA	14.8	4	1	5	0
2025-11-18	vs MIL	30.8	20	5	0	6
2025-11-15	vs MEM	21.5	13	4	1	2
2025-11-14	vs TOR	20.5	12	2	3	3
2025-11-13	@ MIA	14.0	5	0	3	1
2025-11-11	@ MIA	19.5	12	2	2	4
2025-11-09	vs CHI	23.0	8	2	8	2
2025-11-08	@ WSH	23.5	14	2	2	4
2025-11-06	vs PHI	15.5	14	0	0	4
2025-10-27	@ DET	19.2	11	1	1	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts