Doug McDermottFITTED MODEL

F · SAC · NBA

9.5

Projection

-0.1

Floor (p10)

21.2

Ceiling (p90)

26%

Boom (1.5x)

39%

Bust (0.6x)

10.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-31	@ LAC	4.2	3	1	0	1
2025-12-29	@ LAL	5.5	3	0	0	1
2025-12-27	vs DAL	15.8	9	3	1	3
2025-12-12	vs DEN	0.0	0	0	0	0
2025-11-13	vs ATL	6.5	6	0	0	2
2025-10-16	vs LAC	4.8	0	1	1	0
2026-04-13	@ POR	13.8	7	3	0	2
2026-04-11	vs GS	5.2	3	1	1	0
2026-04-08	@ GS	29.0	16	4	2	4
2026-04-06	vs LAC	8.0	3	0	3	1
2026-04-04	vs NO	10.2	3	3	2	1
2026-04-02	@ TOR	3.5	3	0	0	1
2026-03-29	@ BKN	17.2	12	3	0	4
2026-03-26	@ ORL	10.0	6	0	2	2
2026-03-24	@ CHA	15.8	9	1	2	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts