Nate WilliamsFITTED MODEL

G · GS · NBA

12.4

Projection

2.5

Floor (p10)

24.7

Ceiling (p90)

22%

Boom (1.5x)

34%

Bust (0.6x)

12.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-10-16	vs DAL	11.0	4	2	1	0
2025-10-15	@ PHX	11.8	7	1	1	1
2025-10-13	vs GS	5.0	5	0	0	1
2025-10-06	@ GS	12.0	5	6	0	1
2025-10-04	vs PHX	6.0	0	2	0	0
2026-04-13	@ LAC	13.5	9	2	1	1
2026-04-10	vs LAL	26.0	17	4	3	3
2026-04-02	vs SA	28.5	18	4	1	2
2026-03-30	@ DEN	3.2	0	3	0	0
2026-03-22	@ ATL	29.0	19	4	2	2
2026-03-18	@ BOS	3.5	2	0	1	0
2026-03-16	@ WSH	1.2	0	1	0	0
2026-03-11	vs CHI	4.0	2	2	0	0
2026-03-10	@ UTAH	20.5	12	4	1	1
2026-03-08	@ OKC	5.5	4	0	1	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts