Aaron HolidayFITTED MODEL

G · HOU · NBA

9.9

Projection

0.0

Floor (p10)

22.1

Ceiling (p90)

26%

Boom (1.5x)

40%

Bust (0.6x)

12.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-30	vs IND	0.0	0	0	0	0
2025-12-28	vs CLE	4.8	2	1	1	0
2025-12-26	@ LAL	1.5	0	0	1	0
2025-12-24	@ LAC	4.0	3	0	1	1
2025-12-20	@ DEN	3.5	0	4	0	0
2025-12-19	@ NO	6.2	3	1	1	1
2025-12-16	@ DEN	5.0	3	0	1	1
2025-12-12	vs LAC	15.8	13	1	0	4
2025-12-07	@ DAL	26.0	19	2	0	3
2025-12-06	vs PHX	20.2	10	1	2	2
2025-12-04	vs SAC	11.0	7	2	1	1
2025-12-02	@ UTAH	17.0	10	2	2	3
2025-11-30	@ UTAH	18.2	11	1	2	3
2025-11-27	@ GS	22.8	14	3	3	3
2025-11-25	@ PHX	32.2	22	1	2	6

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts