Dru SmithFITTED MODEL

G · MIA · NBA

15.3

Projection

3.6

Floor (p10)

28.4

Ceiling (p90)

21%

Boom (1.5x)

28%

Bust (0.6x)

18.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-30	vs DEN	22.0	11	4	1	2
2025-12-28	vs IND	19.2	5	5	3	1
2025-12-27	@ ATL	17.2	6	3	1	0
2025-12-24	vs TOR	19.5	10	2	2	1
2025-12-21	@ NY	16.0	9	0	3	1
2025-12-20	@ BOS	18.8	7	1	4	0
2025-12-19	@ BKN	21.8	3	3	6	0
2025-12-16	vs TOR	22.2	11	3	2	1
2025-12-09	@ ORL	12.0	2	2	1	0
2025-12-07	vs SAC	11.8	4	1	2	0
2025-12-06	@ ORL	12.5	5	4	2	0
2025-12-04	@ DAL	23.5	8	4	4	1
2025-12-02	vs LAC	14.0	7	0	2	1
2025-11-30	vs DET	23.2	9	5	4	1
2025-11-27	vs MIL	18.2	5	3	1	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts