Tyler HerroFITTED MODEL

G · MIA · NBA

35.1

Projection

19.3

Floor (p10)

51.0

Ceiling (p90)

Boom (1.5x)

13%

Bust (0.6x)

34.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-09	@ ORL	32.8	20	7	3	0
2025-12-04	@ DAL	29.0	20	4	0	2
2025-12-02	vs LAC	32.8	22	3	2	4
2025-11-30	vs DET	36.0	24	4	2	6
2025-11-27	vs MIL	50.2	29	5	7	3
2025-11-25	vs DAL	38.8	24	7	0	0
2026-04-14	@ CHA	36.2	23	3	6	3
2026-04-12	vs ATL	30.5	5	10	8	1
2026-04-09	@ TOR	27.0	15	4	4	3
2026-04-07	@ TOR	29.2	14	5	6	1
2026-04-01	vs BOS	34.8	18	3	7	4
2026-03-30	vs PHI	45.5	30	4	3	3
2026-03-29	@ IND	43.2	31	3	4	5
2026-03-27	@ CLE	22.2	11	3	5	1
2026-03-25	@ CLE	33.5	18	2	4	4

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts