Jared RhodenFITTED MODEL

G · TOR · NBA

11.1

Projection

1.2

Floor (p10)

23.3

Ceiling (p90)

24%

Boom (1.5x)

37%

Bust (0.6x)

13.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-10-12	@ WSH	4.5	3	0	1	0
2025-10-10	vs BOS	8.2	2	1	1	0
2024-11-17	@ CLE	0.8	0	1	0	0
2024-11-13	@ ORL	0.0	0	0	0	0
2024-11-09	vs IND	1.2	0	1	0	0
2024-11-05	@ MIN	11.5	4	2	2	0
2024-10-13	@ BOS	7.5	2	2	2	0
2024-10-11	@ WSH	1.2	0	1	0	0
2024-10-06	vs WSH	11.2	6	3	1	0
2025-04-09	vs CHA	38.8	23	7	4	3
2025-04-06	@ BKN	15.0	10	0	1	0
2025-04-04	vs DET	17.2	6	5	2	0
2025-04-02	@ CHI	10.0	8	0	1	1
2025-03-12	vs PHI	57.5	25	12	5	4
2025-03-10	vs WSH	18.2	11	3	0	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts