Marvin Bagley IIIFITTED MODEL

F · DAL · NBA

22.7

Projection

9.3

Floor (p10)

36.8

Ceiling (p90)

15%

Boom (1.5x)

20%

Bust (0.6x)

25.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-30	vs PHX	24.8	7	7	2	0
2025-12-28	vs MEM	23.8	14	7	1	0
2025-12-27	vs TOR	17.2	6	5	2	0
2025-12-24	@ CHA	22.2	15	3	1	0
2025-12-21	@ MEM	27.0	16	6	3	0
2025-12-19	@ SA	25.0	13	4	5	1
2025-12-14	@ IND	46.5	23	14	1	0
2025-12-13	vs CLE	38.2	15	13	4	1
2025-12-07	vs ATL	16.2	6	3	2	0
2025-12-05	vs BOS	12.0	5	6	0	0
2025-12-03	@ PHI	34.5	13	8	1	1
2025-12-02	vs MIL	33.5	22	8	1	0
2025-11-20	@ MIN	33.2	13	7	3	0
2025-11-16	vs BKN	8.8	4	3	1	0
2025-11-13	@ HOU	16.8	9	5	1	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts