T.J. McConnellFITTED MODEL

G · IND · NBA

21.7

Projection

8.9

Floor (p10)

35.2

Ceiling (p90)

15%

Boom (1.5x)

21%

Bust (0.6x)

22.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-31	vs ORL	19.8	4	1	8	0
2025-12-30	@ HOU	14.8	6	1	4	0
2025-12-27	vs BOS	20.8	13	1	3	1
2025-12-24	vs MIL	26.5	16	2	6	0
2025-12-21	@ NO	36.0	16	4	8	0
2025-12-19	vs NY	24.8	8	5	5	0
2025-12-14	vs WSH	13.0	4	4	4	0
2025-12-13	@ PHI	29.5	15	2	5	1
2025-12-09	vs SAC	9.2	4	1	3	0
2025-12-06	@ CHI	13.2	2	3	4	0
2025-12-04	vs DEN	31.8	14	1	6	0
2025-12-02	vs CLE	8.8	4	1	1	0
2025-11-30	vs CHI	28.8	8	3	6	0
2025-11-29	vs WSH	34.5	14	4	8	0
2025-11-27	@ TOR	32.8	16	7	6	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts