Pat ConnaughtonFITTED MODEL

G · CHA · NBA

5.7

Projection

-3.0

Floor (p10)

18.0

Ceiling (p90)

32%

Boom (1.5x)

47%

Bust (0.6x)

7.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-27	@ ORL	2.5	1	0	1	0
2025-12-24	vs WSH	0.0	0	0	0	0
2025-12-23	@ CLE	6.0	3	2	0	1
2025-12-21	@ DET	0.0	0	0	0	0
2025-11-22	vs LAC	2.5	0	2	0	0
2025-11-20	@ IND	20.5	13	2	1	3
2025-11-18	@ TOR	6.2	5	1	0	0
2025-11-16	vs OKC	12.0	3	4	1	1
2025-11-15	@ MIL	5.5	0	0	1	0
2025-11-13	vs MIL	17.5	11	2	2	2
2025-11-11	vs LAL	7.8	0	5	0	0
2025-11-08	@ MIA	11.8	6	5	0	0
2025-11-05	@ NO	6.2	3	1	1	1
2025-11-02	vs UTAH	9.8	6	1	0	2
2025-10-30	vs ORL	0.0	0	0	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts