A.J. LawsonFITTED MODEL

G · TOR · NBA

7.6

Projection

-2.3

Floor (p10)

19.8

Ceiling (p90)

29%

Boom (1.5x)

44%

Bust (0.6x)

6.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-27	@ WSH	5.2	2	1	0	0
2025-12-10	vs NY	6.0	2	0	0	0
2025-12-07	vs BOS	17.2	10	5	0	2
2025-10-10	vs BOS	5.2	4	1	0	0
2025-10-09	@ SAC	7.8	6	1	0	1
2025-10-07	vs DEN	8.0	2	2	1	0
2026-05-03	@ CLE	6.5	2	2	0	0
2026-05-01	vs CLE	7.8	6	1	0	2
2026-04-29	@ CLE	0.0	0	0	0	0
2026-04-26	vs CLE	0.0	0	0	0	0
2026-04-24	vs CLE	0.0	0	0	0	0
2026-04-20	@ CLE	3.5	2	0	1	0
2026-04-18	@ CLE	8.0	2	0	3	0
2026-04-12	vs BKN	11.0	10	0	0	2
2026-04-10	@ NY	16.5	5	6	1	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts