Dereck Lively IIFITTED MODEL

C · DAL · NBA

19.3

Projection

6.9

Floor (p10)

33.3

Ceiling (p90)

17%

Boom (1.5x)

25%

Bust (0.6x)

21.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST
2025-11-22	vs NO	15.5	4	4	2
2025-11-20	vs NY	23.5	4	10	1
2025-11-17	vs POR	10.2	2	3	1
2025-11-15	vs LAC	13.8	4	5	0
2025-10-26	vs TOR	23.8	4	7	4
2025-10-25	vs WSH	23.5	8	6	2
2025-10-23	vs SA	10.5	4	2	3
2025-10-16	@ LAL	34.8	12	11	1
2025-10-14	@ UTAH	11.5	2	6	0
2025-10-12	vs CHA	29.5	10	6	3
2025-10-07	vs OKC	16.0	4	4	2
2024-12-25	vs MIN	28.0	6	10	3
2024-12-24	vs POR	12.0	4	4	1
2024-12-22	vs LAC	41.2	11	11	5
2024-12-20	vs LAC	29.8	13	7	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts