Paul GervaseFITTED MODEL

P · LAD · MLB

4.3

Projection

-3.3

Floor (p10)

12.9

Ceiling (p90)

30%

Boom (1.5x)

39%

Bust (0.6x)

3.7

Avg (last 9)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-02	vs SD	0.3	-	-	-	1
2026-05-22	@ MIL	3.3	-	-	-	0
2026-05-09	vs ATL	11.8	-	-	-	5
2025-08-20	@ COL	4.7	-	-	-	2
2025-07-07	@ DET	4.7	-	-	-	3
2025-06-30	vs ATH	6.5	-	-	-	2
2025-06-27	@ BAL	-2.5	-	-	-	0
2025-06-26	@ KC	-0.5	-	-	-	0
2025-06-21	vs DET	5.3	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts