Carson PalmquistFITTED MODEL

P · WSH · MLB

3.9

Projection

-0.6

Floor (p10)

8.1

Ceiling (p90)

27%

Boom (1.5x)

29%

Bust (0.6x)

2.9

Avg (last 11)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-01	@ BOS	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-06-24	vs PHI	9.7	-	-	-	3
2025-08-04	vs TOR	-8.4	-	-	-	2
2025-08-01	vs PIT	0.5	-	-	-	3
2025-06-21	vs AZ	7.4	-	-	-	4
2025-06-16	@ WSH	2.3	-	-	-	2
2025-06-10	vs SF	3.6	-	-	-	2
2025-06-01	@ NYM	14.3	-	-	-	8
2025-05-26	@ CHC	11.7	-	-	-	4
2025-05-21	vs PHI	-6.7	-	-	-	2
2025-05-16	@ AZ	-5.2	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts