Ryan RolisonFITTED MODEL

P · CHC · MLB

3.7

Projection

-0.8

Floor (p10)

7.9

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

30%

Bust (0.6x)

4.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-30	vs SD	0.8	-	-	-	0
2026-06-28	@ MIL	5.3	-	-	-	2
2026-06-24	@ NYM	1.1	-	-	-	0
2026-06-23	@ NYM	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-20	vs TOR	1.5	-	-	-	0
2026-06-16	vs COL	9.2	-	-	-	3
2026-06-14	@ SF	3.0	-	-	-	0
2026-06-11	@ COL	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-09	@ COL	3.8	-	-	-	1
2026-06-06	vs SF	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-04	vs ATH	9.8	-	-	-	3
2026-06-03	vs ATH	0.8	-	-	-	0
2026-05-31	@ STL	2.1	-	-	-	0
2026-05-26	@ PIT	4.0	-	-	-	1
2026-05-23	vs HOU	3.6	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts