Lucas GiolitoFITTED MODEL

P · SD · MLB

5.0

Projection

-2.5

Floor (p10)

13.7

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

37%

Bust (0.6x)

10.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-21	@ TEX	-0.4	-	-	-	2
2026-06-15	@ STL	3.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-09	vs CIN	8.8	-	-	-	3
2026-06-04	@ PHI	10.8	-	-	-	5
2026-05-29	@ WSH	-5.4	-	-	-	1
2026-05-23	vs ATH	9.8	-	-	-	2
2026-05-17	@ SEA	8.2	-	-	-	3
2025-09-23	@ TOR	10.3	-	-	-	3
2025-09-17	vs ATH	5.8	-	-	-	5
2025-09-12	vs NYY	19.1	-	-	-	6
2025-09-06	@ AZ	5.2	-	-	-	2
2025-08-31	vs PIT	18.7	-	-	-	6
2025-08-26	@ BAL	31.0	-	-	-	8
2025-08-21	@ NYY	7.7	-	-	-	4
2025-08-15	vs MIA	17.4	-	-	-	5

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts