Ryan BergertFITTED MODEL

P · KC · MLB

10.4

Projection

-2.4

Floor (p10)

22.3

Ceiling (p90)

31%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

12.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-13	@ PHI	8.8	-	-	-	5
2025-09-08	@ CLE	-10.9	-	-	-	3
2025-09-03	vs LAA	18.9	-	-	-	6
2025-08-27	@ CWS	12.7	-	-	-	3
2025-08-22	@ DET	16.4	-	-	-	5
2025-08-17	vs CWS	19.2	-	-	-	7
2025-08-10	@ MIN	21.8	-	-	-	8
2025-08-05	@ BOS	10.3	-	-	-	2
2025-07-29	vs NYM	11.4	-	-	-	4
2025-07-11	vs PHI	17.5	-	-	-	7
2025-06-24	vs WSH	4.0	-	-	-	4
2025-06-19	@ LAD	14.1	-	-	-	3
2025-06-14	@ AZ	18.2	-	-	-	8
2025-06-08	@ MIL	17.0	-	-	-	4
2025-06-03	@ SF	6.5	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts