Dustin MayFITTED MODEL

P · STL · MLB

12.1

Projection

-0.7

Floor (p10)

24.0

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

30%

Bust (0.6x)

13.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-02	@ ATL	-10.7	-	-	-	1
2026-06-21	@ KC	-7.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-15	vs SD	42.0	-	-	-	9
2026-06-09	@ NYM	22.5	-	-	-	6
2026-06-02	vs TEX	20.6	-	-	-	9
2026-05-27	@ MIL	29.9	-	-	-	9
2026-05-21	vs PIT	12.6	-	-	-	7
2026-05-15	vs KC	8.7	-	-	-	3
2026-05-09	@ SD	20.5	-	-	-	7
2026-05-03	vs LAD	7.5	-	-	-	3
2026-04-27	@ PIT	8.1	-	-	-	2
2026-04-21	@ MIA	15.8	-	-	-	5
2026-04-15	vs CLE	15.3	-	-	-	4
2026-04-10	vs BOS	16.5	-	-	-	4
2026-04-04	@ DET	-4.5	-	-	-	4

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts