Shane SmithFITTED MODEL

P · CWS · MLB

6.8

Projection

-0.8

Floor (p10)

15.4

Ceiling (p90)

24%

Boom (1.5x)

31%

Bust (0.6x)

13.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-04-07	vs BAL	20.1	-	-	-	8
2026-04-01	@ MIA	-11.2	-	-	-	1
2026-03-26	@ MIL	-1.2	-	-	-	2
2025-09-28	@ WSH	28.9	-	-	-	8
2025-09-23	@ NYY	19.9	-	-	-	8
2025-09-16	vs BAL	5.8	-	-	-	7
2025-09-11	vs TB	17.8	-	-	-	4
2025-09-05	@ DET	11.7	-	-	-	6
2025-08-30	vs NYY	21.2	-	-	-	7
2025-08-25	vs KC	20.6	-	-	-	3
2025-08-19	@ ATL	8.1	-	-	-	4
2025-08-13	vs DET	18.2	-	-	-	5
2025-08-07	@ SEA	20.2	-	-	-	8
2025-08-01	@ LAA	9.6	-	-	-	4
2025-07-11	vs CLE	11.6	-	-	-	5

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts