Brad LordFITTED MODEL

P · WSH · MLB

5.7

Projection

-1.8

Floor (p10)

14.4

Ceiling (p90)

27%

Boom (1.5x)

35%

Bust (0.6x)

6.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-01	@ BOS	4.8	-	-	-	1
2026-06-26	@ BAL	11.0	-	-	-	5
2026-06-23	vs PHI	-10.1	-	-	-	2
2026-06-20	@ TB	14.9	0	0	0	5
2026-06-15	vs KC	5.0	-	-	-	2
2026-06-13	vs SEA	7.9	-	-	-	2
2026-06-09	@ SF	5.0	-	-	-	1
2026-06-06	@ AZ	6.5	-	-	-	1
2026-06-03	vs MIA	5.2	-	-	-	2
2026-05-30	vs SD	7.9	-	-	-	2
2026-05-23	@ ATL	11.6	-	-	-	3
2026-05-19	vs NYM	9.6	-	-	-	3
2026-05-17	vs BAL	5.0	-	-	-	2
2026-05-12	@ CIN	10.8	-	-	-	3
2026-05-08	@ MIA	7.2	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts