Matt ShawFITTED MODEL

OF · CHC · MLB

4.9

Projection

0.0

Floor (p10)

14.8

Ceiling (p90)

26%

Boom (1.5x)

52%

Bust (0.6x)

6.7

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-28	@ MIL	2.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-27	@ MIL	9.0	1	1	0	-
2026-06-26	@ MIL	2.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-25	@ NYM	2.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-24	@ NYM	9.0	0	0	1	-
2026-06-23	@ NYM	7.0	1	1	0	-
2026-06-20	vs TOR	18.0	1	4	3	-
2026-06-19	vs TOR	6.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-17	vs COL	17.0	2	4	2	-
2026-06-16	vs COL	5.0	1	1	0	-
2026-06-15	vs COL	19.0	2	4	2	-
2026-06-13	@ SF	5.0	1	1	0	-
2026-06-11	@ COL	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-09	@ COL	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-05-19	vs MIL	0.0	0	0	0	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts