Lake BacharFITTED MODEL

P · MIA · MLB

4.9

Projection

-2.6

Floor (p10)

13.6

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

37%

Bust (0.6x)

4.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-30	@ COL	1.5	-	-	-	0
2026-06-27	@ STL	2.1	-	-	-	1
2026-06-23	vs TEX	3.5	-	-	-	1
2026-06-21	vs SF	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-06-19	vs SF	0.0	-	-	-	1
2026-06-16	@ PHI	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-13	@ PIT	8.7	-	-	-	4
2026-06-10	vs AZ	8.7	-	-	-	3
2026-06-06	vs TB	12.8	-	-	-	3
2026-06-02	@ WSH	11.4	-	-	-	3
2026-05-30	@ NYM	-0.5	-	-	-	2
2026-05-25	@ TOR	6.4	-	-	-	3
2026-05-19	vs ATL	3.2	-	-	-	2
2026-05-18	vs ATL	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-05-16	@ TB	-4.2	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts