Richard FittsFITTED MODEL

P · BOS · MLB

8.2

Projection

0.7

Floor (p10)

16.9

Ceiling (p90)

21%

Boom (1.5x)

27%

Bust (0.6x)

8.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-08-25	@ BAL	11.4	-	-	-	6
2025-07-28	@ MIN	4.8	-	-	-	2
2025-07-22	@ PHI	3.9	-	-	-	4
2025-07-07	vs COL	17.1	-	-	-	6
2025-07-02	vs CIN	5.0	-	-	-	1
2025-07-01	vs CIN	5.0	-	-	-	1
2025-06-25	@ LAA	13.4	-	-	-	6
2025-06-02	vs LAA	-10.8	-	-	-	0
2025-05-27	@ MIL	8.3	-	-	-	2
2025-04-12	@ CWS	19.4	-	-	-	5
2025-04-07	vs TOR	9.5	-	-	-	4
2025-03-30	@ TEX	11.9	-	-	-	4
2024-09-25	@ TOR	2.5	-	-	-	2
2024-09-20	vs MIN	13.7	-	-	-	3
2024-09-13	@ NYY	12.2	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts