Sam AldegheriFITTED MODEL

P · LAA · MLB

6.0

Projection

-1.5

Floor (p10)

14.7

Ceiling (p90)

26%

Boom (1.5x)

34%

Bust (0.6x)

5.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-28	vs ATH	13.7	-	-	-	4
2026-06-22	vs BAL	2.9	-	-	-	3
2026-06-17	@ AZ	-9.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-12	vs TB	13.7	-	-	-	4
2026-06-08	vs HOU	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-02	vs COL	18.4	-	-	-	5
2026-05-05	vs CWS	1.4	-	-	-	0
2026-04-16	@ NYY	4.0	-	-	-	2
2025-09-28	vs HOU	5.3	-	-	-	5
2025-09-23	vs KC	4.5	-	-	-	3
2025-07-08	vs TEX	-6.9	-	-	-	2
2025-06-04	@ BOS	7.5	-	-	-	2
2024-09-13	vs HOU	-10.1	-	-	-	0
2024-09-06	@ TEX	21.9	-	-	-	7
2024-08-30	vs SEA	7.2	-	-	-	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts