Rhett LowderFITTED MODEL

P · CIN · MLB

9.2

Projection

1.6

Floor (p10)

17.8

Ceiling (p90)

20%

Boom (1.5x)

25%

Bust (0.6x)

9.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-30	@ MIL	7.3	-	-	-	8
2026-06-24	vs MIL	12.8	-	-	-	6
2026-06-19	@ NYY	8.6	-	-	-	5
2026-06-13	vs AZ	17.9	-	-	-	6
2026-06-07	@ STL	10.6	-	-	-	4
2026-05-07	@ CHC	-0.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-02	@ PIT	-16.4	-	-	-	1
2026-04-26	vs DET	17.1	-	-	-	7
2026-04-20	@ TB	13.3	-	-	-	3
2026-04-15	vs SF	13.4	-	-	-	4
2026-04-09	@ MIA	2.0	-	-	-	2
2026-04-04	@ TEX	18.5	-	-	-	4
2026-03-29	vs BOS	14.2	-	-	-	5
2024-09-28	@ CHC	9.7	-	-	-	1
2024-09-21	vs PIT	15.1	-	-	-	4

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts