Shane BazFITTED MODEL

P · BAL · MLB

13.1

Projection

0.3

Floor (p10)

25.0

Ceiling (p90)

26%

Boom (1.5x)

28%

Bust (0.6x)

13.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-29	vs CWS	18.9	-	-	-	6
2026-06-23	@ LAA	5.8	-	-	-	5
2026-06-18	@ SEA	23.6	-	-	-	9
2026-06-12	vs SD	3.9	-	-	-	1
2026-06-07	@ TOR	11.9	-	-	-	3
2026-06-02	@ BOS	20.1	-	-	-	6
2026-05-26	vs TB	26.4	-	-	-	9
2026-05-20	@ TB	20.5	-	-	-	6
2026-05-15	@ WSH	12.3	-	-	-	4
2026-05-09	vs ATH	5.7	-	-	-	5
2026-05-04	@ NYY	4.8	-	-	-	4
2026-04-28	vs HOU	18.6	-	-	-	6
2026-04-21	@ KC	8.2	-	-	-	4
2026-04-16	@ CLE	12.1	-	-	-	6
2026-04-10	vs SF	6.7	-	-	-	4

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts