Gavin WilliamsFITTED MODEL

P · CLE · MLB

17.9

Projection

5.1

Floor (p10)

29.8

Ceiling (p90)

18%

Boom (1.5x)

23%

Bust (0.6x)

17.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-28	vs SEA	13.8	-	-	-	6
2026-06-22	@ CWS	19.6	-	-	-	8
2026-06-17	@ MIL	-0.1	-	-	-	4
2026-06-08	vs NYY	11.1	-	-	-	5
2026-06-03	@ NYY	15.0	-	-	-	6
2026-05-27	vs WSH	18.1	-	-	-	4
2026-05-22	@ PHI	37.0	-	-	-	11
2026-05-17	vs CIN	18.7	-	-	-	7
2026-05-10	vs MIN	8.9	-	-	-	6
2026-05-05	@ KC	11.5	-	-	-	7
2026-04-29	vs TB	31.6	-	-	-	9
2026-04-24	@ TOR	4.1	-	-	-	4
2026-04-18	vs BAL	33.4	-	-	-	11
2026-04-13	@ STL	11.1	-	-	-	4
2026-04-07	vs KC	23.1	-	-	-	8

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts