Michael PetersenFITTED MODEL

P · MIA · MLB

3.5

Projection

-0.9

Floor (p10)

7.8

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

30%

Bust (0.6x)

4.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-29	@ COL	2.4	-	-	-	1
2026-06-26	@ STL	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-24	vs TEX	8.2	-	-	-	3
2026-06-22	vs TEX	2.3	-	-	-	1
2026-06-21	vs SF	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-19	vs SF	-0.9	-	-	-	1
2026-06-17	@ PHI	8.2	-	-	-	3
2026-06-13	@ PIT	10.5	-	-	-	3
2026-06-11	vs AZ	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-09	vs AZ	2.5	-	-	-	1
2026-06-07	vs TB	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-06	vs TB	2.5	-	-	-	2
2026-06-02	@ WSH	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-01	@ WSH	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-05-29	@ NYM	4.2	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts