Grant HolmesFITTED MODEL

P · ATL · MLB

10.5

Projection

-2.3

Floor (p10)

22.4

Ceiling (p90)

31%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

10.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-27	@ SF	16.4	-	-	-	4
2026-06-22	@ SD	11.7	-	-	-	4
2026-06-17	vs SF	-1.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-16	vs SF	-1.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-09	@ CWS	2.0	-	-	-	2
2026-06-03	vs TOR	12.7	-	-	-	4
2026-05-29	@ CIN	9.7	-	-	-	5
2026-05-23	vs WSH	22.4	-	-	-	10
2026-05-17	vs BOS	17.9	-	-	-	4
2026-05-12	vs CHC	12.0	-	-	-	5
2026-05-01	@ COL	3.2	-	-	-	4
2026-04-24	vs PHI	9.5	-	-	-	4
2026-04-19	@ PHI	11.5	-	-	-	4
2026-04-13	vs MIA	6.0	-	-	-	3
2026-04-08	@ LAA	18.2	-	-	-	6

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts