Cade PovichFITTED MODEL

P · BAL · MLB

8.2

Projection

0.6

Floor (p10)

16.8

Ceiling (p90)

21%

Boom (1.5x)

27%

Bust (0.6x)

10.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-05-07	@ MIA	-0.8	-	-	-	1
2026-05-01	@ NYY	1.6	-	-	-	4
2026-04-12	vs SF	20.0	-	-	-	5
2026-04-05	@ PIT	8.6	-	-	-	2
2025-09-25	vs TB	3.5	-	-	-	4
2025-09-18	vs NYY	9.8	-	-	-	5
2025-09-11	vs PIT	16.6	-	-	-	6
2025-09-03	@ SD	3.2	-	-	-	3
2025-08-28	vs BOS	13.1	-	-	-	5
2025-08-22	vs HOU	8.9	-	-	-	5
2025-08-16	@ HOU	20.4	-	-	-	10
2025-08-10	vs ATH	17.3	-	-	-	5
2025-08-04	@ PHI	15.8	-	-	-	7
2025-06-15	vs LAA	13.8	-	-	-	4
2025-06-10	vs DET	6.5	-	-	-	6

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts