Ryan BurrFITTED MODEL

P · TOR · MLB

4.7

Projection

-2.9

Floor (p10)

13.3

Ceiling (p90)

29%

Boom (1.5x)

38%

Bust (0.6x)

3.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-07-09	@ CWS	1.5	-	-	-	0
2025-07-06	vs LAA	7.8	-	-	-	3
2024-09-29	vs MIA	-1.6	-	-	-	1
2024-09-27	vs MIA	3.6	-	-	-	2
2024-09-24	vs BOS	1.6	-	-	-	1
2024-09-22	@ TB	8.4	-	-	-	3
2024-09-20	@ TB	6.2	-	-	-	2
2024-09-17	@ TEX	4.3	-	-	-	2
2024-09-14	vs STL	4.2	-	-	-	1
2024-09-09	vs NYM	9.9	-	-	-	3
2024-09-07	@ ATL	5.7	-	-	-	2
2024-09-04	vs PHI	1.1	-	-	-	1
2024-09-03	vs PHI	0.1	-	-	-	0
2024-08-31	@ MIN	3.6	-	-	-	1
2024-08-28	@ BOS	0.8	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts