David PetersonFITTED MODEL

P · CHC · MLB

7.5

Projection

-0.1

Floor (p10)

16.1

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

29%

Bust (0.6x)

7.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-27	@ MIL	9.8	-	-	-	2
2026-06-21	@ PHI	6.2	-	-	-	5
2026-06-15	@ CIN	0.3	-	-	-	1
2026-06-10	vs STL	-7.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-31	vs MIA	13.8	-	-	-	3
2026-05-26	vs CIN	-1.1	-	-	-	4
2026-05-21	@ WSH	11.1	-	-	-	3
2026-05-16	vs NYY	15.0	-	-	-	8
2026-05-10	@ AZ	14.8	-	-	-	3
2026-05-04	@ COL	15.2	-	-	-	6
2026-04-29	vs WSH	-0.6	-	-	-	5
2026-04-23	vs MIN	6.5	-	-	-	2
2026-04-19	@ CHC	7.8	-	-	-	1
2026-04-13	@ LAD	11.2	-	-	-	7
2026-04-08	vs AZ	8.4	-	-	-	6

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts