Carmen MlodzinskiFITTED MODEL

P · PIT · MLB

9.4

Projection

1.9

Floor (p10)

18.1

Ceiling (p90)

19%

Boom (1.5x)

24%

Bust (0.6x)

8.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-02	@ PHI	5.5	-	-	-	0
2026-06-28	vs CIN	4.1	-	-	-	1
2026-06-24	vs SEA	11.6	-	-	-	3
2026-06-20	@ COL	7.3	-	-	-	2
2026-06-15	@ ATH	6.5	-	-	-	2
2026-06-10	vs LAD	2.6	-	-	-	3
2026-06-04	@ HOU	10.6	-	-	-	3
2026-05-25	vs CHC	8.4	-	-	-	2
2026-05-20	@ STL	10.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-14	vs COL	7.0	-	-	-	2
2026-05-08	@ SF	7.3	-	-	-	1
2026-05-02	vs CIN	16.1	-	-	-	10
2026-04-26	@ MIL	4.7	-	-	-	4
2026-04-21	@ TEX	7.0	-	-	-	6
2026-04-15	vs WSH	20.5	-	-	-	5

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts