Joey EstesFITTED MODEL

P · ATH · MLB

6.2

Projection

-1.4

Floor (p10)

14.8

Ceiling (p90)

26%

Boom (1.5x)

33%

Bust (0.6x)

6.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-13	vs COL	6.2	-	-	-	4
2025-08-24	@ SEA	10.4	-	-	-	1
2025-04-06	@ COL	-4.7	-	-	-	3
2025-03-31	vs CHC	-6.8	-	-	-	2
2024-09-28	@ SEA	4.5	-	-	-	2
2024-09-22	vs NYY	-4.4	-	-	-	1
2024-09-16	@ CHC	-13.2	-	-	-	1
2024-09-11	@ HOU	10.2	-	-	-	2
2024-09-05	vs SEA	2.8	-	-	-	3
2024-08-31	@ TEX	19.9	-	-	-	7
2024-08-25	vs MIL	16.4	-	-	-	5
2024-08-20	vs TB	22.9	-	-	-	5
2024-08-14	@ NYM	7.8	-	-	-	3
2024-08-07	vs CWS	11.7	-	-	-	4
2024-08-02	vs LAD	19.1	-	-	-	6

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts