Easton LucasFITTED MODEL

P · TOR · MLB

7.1

Projection

-0.5

Floor (p10)

15.7

Ceiling (p90)

24%

Boom (1.5x)

30%

Bust (0.6x)

3.2

Avg (last 14)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-07-29	@ BAL	-3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-05-31	vs ATH	13.5	-	-	-	3
2025-04-20	vs SEA	-3.6	-	-	-	5
2025-04-14	vs ATL	-4.8	-	-	-	3
2025-04-08	@ BOS	25.6	-	-	-	8
2025-04-02	vs WSH	15.4	-	-	-	3
2024-09-27	vs MIA	-4.0	-	-	-	1
2024-09-24	vs BOS	0.6	-	-	-	1
2024-07-28	vs MIN	-1.6	-	-	-	0
2024-07-25	@ CLE	8.5	-	-	-	2
2024-07-22	@ CLE	-3.0	-	-	-	0
2024-05-13	@ HOU	-5.4	-	-	-	0
2024-05-10	@ SEA	7.2	-	-	-	4
2024-05-08	vs TEX	-0.1	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts