Darren McCaughanFITTED MODEL

P · MIN · MLB

6.1

Projection

-1.4

Floor (p10)

14.8

Ceiling (p90)

26%

Boom (1.5x)

33%

Bust (0.6x)

4.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-04-06	vs HOU	-2.3	-	-	-	0
2025-04-03	vs HOU	11.3	-	-	-	4
2025-03-31	@ CWS	9.4	-	-	-	2
2024-09-28	@ TOR	15.2	-	-	-	4
2024-09-26	@ MIN	2.2	-	-	-	0
2024-09-22	vs ATL	13.4	-	-	-	5
2024-09-17	vs LAD	2.0	-	-	-	4
2024-09-12	@ WSH	2.5	-	-	-	1
2024-09-07	vs PHI	10.9	-	-	-	4
2024-09-01	@ SF	1.6	-	-	-	2
2024-08-08	vs CIN	5.0	-	-	-	2
2024-08-06	vs CIN	10.6	-	-	-	3
2024-06-28	@ KC	-2.4	-	-	-	1
2024-06-23	vs TOR	-3.1	-	-	-	0
2024-05-04	@ OAK	-9.9	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts