Kyle LeahyFITTED MODEL

P · STL · MLB

10.5

Projection

-2.2

Floor (p10)

22.5

Ceiling (p90)

30%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

11.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-28	vs MIA	16.2	-	-	-	5
2026-06-23	vs AZ	17.2	-	-	-	3
2026-06-17	vs SD	16.7	-	-	-	7
2026-06-12	@ MIN	7.8	-	-	-	5
2026-06-05	vs CIN	0.8	-	-	-	1
2026-05-30	vs CHC	11.6	-	-	-	4
2026-05-23	@ CIN	11.8	-	-	-	8
2026-05-16	vs KC	10.7	-	-	-	2
2026-05-10	@ SD	17.6	-	-	-	5
2026-05-04	vs MIL	14.6	-	-	-	5
2026-04-28	@ PIT	14.6	-	-	-	7
2026-04-22	@ MIA	0.1	-	-	-	2
2026-04-17	@ HOU	14.2	-	-	-	6
2026-04-11	vs BOS	4.8	-	-	-	2
2026-04-05	@ DET	10.4	-	-	-	4

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts