Pete Crow-ArmstrongFITTED MODEL

OF · CHC · MLB

10.0

Projection

2.3

Floor (p10)

21.2

Ceiling (p90)

24%

Boom (1.5x)

39%

Bust (0.6x)

15.9

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-01	vs SD	28.0	2	5	3	-
2026-06-30	vs SD	18.0	1	4	1	-
2026-06-29	vs SD	12.0	2	2	0	-
2026-06-28	@ MIL	18.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-27	@ MIL	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-26	@ MIL	4.0	0	0	0	-
2026-06-25	@ NYM	10.0	2	3	1	-
2026-06-24	@ NYM	10.0	2	2	1	-
2026-06-24	@ NYM	7.0	1	1	0	-
2026-06-23	@ NYM	22.0	1	4	3	-
2026-06-20	vs TOR	21.0	2	5	2	-
2026-06-19	vs TOR	27.0	3	3	1	-
2026-06-17	vs COL	16.0	1	4	1	-
2026-06-16	vs COL	14.0	1	4	1	-
2026-06-15	vs COL	32.0	4	10	2	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts