Ty BlachFITTED MODEL

P · CHC · MLB

10.2

Projection

-2.6

Floor (p10)

22.1

Ceiling (p90)

31%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

2.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-05-18	vs MIL	10.2	-	-	-	2
2024-09-07	@ MIL	-3.4	-	-	-	1
2024-09-01	vs BAL	-3.8	-	-	-	1
2024-07-26	@ SF	-3.1	-	-	-	1
2024-07-23	vs BOS	-10.2	-	-	-	1
2024-07-11	@ CIN	1.8	-	-	-	0
2024-07-07	vs KC	-5.5	-	-	-	0
2024-07-02	vs MIL	2.1	-	-	-	1
2024-06-26	@ HOU	1.1	-	-	-	2
2024-06-20	vs LAD	-3.6	-	-	-	2
2024-06-15	vs PIT	13.3	-	-	-	5
2024-06-09	@ STL	3.2	-	-	-	3
2024-06-04	vs CIN	0.7	-	-	-	2
2024-05-29	vs CLE	16.9	-	-	-	5
2024-05-24	vs PHI	11.4	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts