Justin VerlanderFITTED MODEL

P · DET · MLB

9.0

Projection

1.4

Floor (p10)

17.6

Ceiling (p90)

20%

Boom (1.5x)

26%

Bust (0.6x)

13.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-03-30	@ AZ	-4.5	-	-	-	1
2025-09-27	vs COL	19.9	-	-	-	7
2025-09-22	vs STL	1.1	-	-	-	3
2025-09-17	@ AZ	18.8	-	-	-	3
2025-09-12	vs LAD	16.9	-	-	-	4
2025-09-06	@ STL	23.1	-	-	-	6
2025-08-31	vs BAL	27.1	-	-	-	10
2025-08-26	vs CHC	14.1	-	-	-	5
2025-08-21	@ SD	1.6	-	-	-	4
2025-08-16	vs TB	30.6	-	-	-	8
2025-08-10	vs WSH	6.0	-	-	-	6
2025-08-04	@ PIT	16.9	-	-	-	4
2025-07-29	vs PIT	19.1	-	-	-	7
2025-07-23	@ ATL	13.1	-	-	-	3
2025-07-18	@ TOR	-9.2	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts