Edward CabreraFITTED MODEL

P · CHC · MLB

10.7

Projection

-2.1

Floor (p10)

22.6

Ceiling (p90)

30%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

11.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-23	@ NYM	11.1	-	-	-	4
2026-06-16	vs COL	2.8	-	-	-	3
2026-06-11	@ COL	13.8	-	-	-	5
2026-06-05	vs SF	-1.1	-	-	-	6
2026-05-20	vs MIL	5.2	-	-	-	2
2026-05-15	@ CWS	4.9	-	-	-	2
2026-05-09	@ TEX	8.4	-	-	-	6
2026-05-04	vs CIN	16.9	-	-	-	8
2026-04-28	@ SD	15.9	-	-	-	7
2026-04-23	vs PHI	16.1	-	-	-	5
2026-04-17	vs NYM	9.5	-	-	-	4
2026-04-11	vs PIT	6.7	-	-	-	4
2026-04-05	@ CLE	17.1	-	-	-	4
2026-03-30	vs LAA	22.3	-	-	-	5
2025-09-28	vs NYM	21.1	-	-	-	7

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts