Spencer ArrighettiFITTED MODEL

P · HOU · MLB

14.3

Projection

1.5

Floor (p10)

26.2

Ceiling (p90)

24%

Boom (1.5x)

27%

Bust (0.6x)

14.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-26	@ DET	-1.2	-	-	-	7
2026-06-20	vs CLE	13.3	-	-	-	8
2026-06-14	@ KC	14.1	-	-	-	7
2026-06-08	@ LAA	16.1	-	-	-	7
2026-06-03	vs PIT	2.2	-	-	-	3
2026-05-28	@ TEX	13.9	-	-	-	3
2026-05-22	@ CHC	16.4	-	-	-	5
2026-05-15	vs TEX	23.5	-	-	-	5
2026-05-09	@ CIN	15.9	-	-	-	5
2026-05-02	@ BOS	11.2	-	-	-	4
2026-04-26	vs NYY	26.8	-	-	-	8
2026-04-20	@ CLE	7.2	-	-	-	3
2026-04-15	vs COL	26.1	-	-	-	10
2025-08-30	vs LAA	24.6	-	-	-	8
2025-08-24	@ BAL	9.2	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts