Aaron AshbyFITTED MODEL

P · MIL · MLB

4.4

Projection

-3.1

Floor (p10)

13.1

Ceiling (p90)

30%

Boom (1.5x)

39%

Bust (0.6x)

2.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-01	vs CIN	6.4	-	-	-	2
2026-06-29	vs CIN	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-28	vs CHC	-0.3	-	-	-	1
2026-06-26	vs CHC	-0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-06-23	@ CIN	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-22	@ CIN	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-20	@ ATL	-2.5	-	-	-	1
2026-06-17	vs CLE	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-16	vs CLE	2.5	-	-	-	2
2026-06-14	vs PHI	10.5	-	-	-	3
2026-06-10	@ ATH	1.1	-	-	-	0
2026-06-08	@ ATH	1.4	-	-	-	3
2026-06-05	@ COL	0.5	-	-	-	1
2026-06-02	vs SF	1.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-29	@ HOU	5.7	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts