Adrian HouserFITTED MODEL

P · SF · MLB

6.4

Projection

-1.1

Floor (p10)

15.1

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

6.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-30	@ AZ	6.4	-	-	-	1
2026-06-26	vs ATL	7.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-17	@ ATL	-0.1	-	-	-	2
2026-06-16	@ ATL	-0.1	-	-	-	2
2026-06-09	vs WSH	12.8	-	-	-	6
2026-06-04	@ MIL	10.9	-	-	-	5
2026-05-30	@ COL	1.6	-	-	-	4
2026-05-23	vs CWS	10.3	-	-	-	5
2026-05-17	@ ATH	12.1	-	-	-	3
2026-05-12	@ LAD	12.6	-	-	-	4
2026-05-06	vs SD	15.1	-	-	-	3
2026-04-30	@ PHI	4.9	-	-	-	2
2026-04-24	vs MIA	-8.2	-	-	-	3
2026-04-18	@ WSH	0.8	-	-	-	1
2026-04-12	@ BAL	4.3	-	-	-	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts