Chris PaddackFITTED MODEL

P · TEX · MLB

4.6

Projection

-3.0

Floor (p10)

13.2

Ceiling (p90)

29%

Boom (1.5x)

39%

Bust (0.6x)

4.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-29	@ CLE	2.8	-	-	-	1
2026-06-17	vs NYM	6.8	-	-	-	2
2026-06-14	vs AZ	-0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-06-07	@ STL	0.7	-	-	-	2
2026-05-29	vs ATL	-2.8	-	-	-	0
2026-05-23	vs STL	9.2	-	-	-	5
2026-05-16	@ CLE	8.4	-	-	-	3
2026-05-03	vs PHI	-11.4	-	-	-	1
2026-04-27	@ LAD	4.0	-	-	-	1
2026-04-21	vs STL	9.1	-	-	-	7
2026-04-15	@ ATL	11.5	-	-	-	4
2026-04-10	@ DET	12.7	-	-	-	4
2026-04-05	@ NYY	14.3	-	-	-	4
2026-03-30	vs CWS	-0.4	-	-	-	6
2025-09-28	@ BOS	5.2	-	-	-	5

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts