Joe BoyleFITTED MODEL

P · TB · MLB

11.9

Projection

-0.8

Floor (p10)

23.9

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

30%

Bust (0.6x)

10.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-04-08	vs CHC	1.6	-	-	-	3
2026-04-03	@ MIN	21.8	-	-	-	9
2026-03-28	@ STL	15.7	-	-	-	4
2025-09-27	@ TOR	8.4	-	-	-	5
2025-09-21	vs BOS	20.9	-	-	-	9
2025-09-15	vs TOR	21.1	-	-	-	5
2025-08-21	vs STL	1.2	-	-	-	5
2025-08-15	@ SF	-1.1	-	-	-	3
2025-08-09	@ SEA	0.1	-	-	-	5
2025-08-03	vs LAD	11.7	-	-	-	2
2025-07-29	@ NYY	7.3	-	-	-	6
2025-07-23	vs CWS	6.2	-	-	-	1
2025-07-18	vs BAL	7.9	-	-	-	2
2025-07-11	@ BOS	4.0	-	-	-	1
2025-07-06	@ MIN	23.4	-	-	-	7

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts