Bowden FrancisFITTED MODEL

P · TOR · MLB

7.4

Projection

-0.2

Floor (p10)

16.0

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

29%

Bust (0.6x)

8.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-06-14	@ PHI	8.7	-	-	-	4
2025-06-08	@ MIN	-2.5	-	-	-	2
2025-06-03	vs PHI	-10.2	-	-	-	2
2025-05-27	@ TEX	20.9	-	-	-	6
2025-05-22	vs SD	9.4	-	-	-	4
2025-05-16	vs DET	7.9	-	-	-	6
2025-05-10	@ SEA	14.8	-	-	-	5
2025-05-04	vs CLE	1.6	-	-	-	2
2025-04-29	vs BOS	-10.1	-	-	-	1
2025-04-23	@ HOU	3.1	-	-	-	2
2025-04-18	vs SEA	17.3	-	-	-	5
2025-04-12	@ BAL	13.8	-	-	-	5
2025-04-06	@ NYM	14.6	-	-	-	6
2025-03-31	vs WSH	14.5	-	-	-	4
2024-09-24	vs BOS	16.9	-	-	-	4

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts