Ryan PepiotFITTED MODEL

P · TB · MLB

14.4

Projection

1.6

Floor (p10)

26.4

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

27%

Bust (0.6x)

12.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-23	@ BAL	4.3	-	-	-	3
2025-09-16	vs TOR	-2.5	-	-	-	3
2025-09-04	vs CLE	21.4	-	-	-	6
2025-08-30	@ WSH	20.9	-	-	-	6
2025-08-24	vs STL	16.1	-	-	-	3
2025-08-17	@ SF	15.9	-	-	-	8
2025-08-11	@ ATH	10.1	-	-	-	4
2025-08-05	@ LAA	16.6	-	-	-	6
2025-07-31	@ NYY	-2.4	-	-	-	4
2025-07-26	@ CIN	21.9	-	-	-	6
2025-07-20	vs BAL	15.3	-	-	-	8
2025-07-13	@ BOS	8.7	-	-	-	3
2025-07-08	@ DET	16.7	-	-	-	6
2025-07-02	vs ATH	23.3	-	-	-	9
2025-06-27	@ BAL	-6.5	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts