Charlie MortonFITTED MODEL

P · ATL · MLB

8.8

Projection

1.2

Floor (p10)

17.4

Ceiling (p90)

20%

Boom (1.5x)

26%

Bust (0.6x)

9.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-28	vs PIT	3.2	-	-	-	1
2025-09-19	vs ATL	-9.8	-	-	-	2
2025-09-13	@ MIA	8.8	-	-	-	4
2025-09-07	vs CWS	0.6	-	-	-	2
2025-09-01	vs NYM	-3.8	-	-	-	3
2025-08-26	@ ATH	9.8	-	-	-	7
2025-08-20	vs HOU	21.9	-	-	-	8
2025-08-15	@ MIN	19.9	-	-	-	5
2025-08-09	vs LAA	12.3	-	-	-	10
2025-08-03	@ PHI	19.9	-	-	-	6
2025-07-29	vs TOR	4.9	-	-	-	2
2025-07-24	@ CLE	17.0	-	-	-	7
2025-07-18	@ TB	-0.6	-	-	-	4
2025-07-10	vs NYM	15.3	-	-	-	4
2025-07-04	@ ATL	16.6	-	-	-	7

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts