Paul BlackburnFITTED MODEL

P · NYY · MLB

3.6

Projection

-0.9

Floor (p10)

7.8

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

30%

Bust (0.6x)

4.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-01	vs DET	5.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-28	@ BOS	5.9	-	-	-	1
2026-06-27	@ BOS	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-25	@ BOS	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-22	@ DET	7.8	-	-	-	2
2026-06-21	vs CIN	3.0	-	-	-	0
2026-06-17	vs CWS	4.8	-	-	-	2
2026-06-09	@ CLE	4.0	-	-	-	1
2026-06-08	@ CLE	0.3	-	-	-	1
2026-06-05	vs BOS	8.5	-	-	-	2
2026-06-03	vs CLE	5.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-29	@ ATH	2.7	-	-	-	1
2026-05-21	vs TOR	7.3	-	-	-	2
2026-05-18	vs TOR	5.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-16	@ NYM	3.0	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts